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Yesterday, the release of Japanese Household Spending numbers came back higher than excepted. Today, Manufacturing PMI is said to do the same, as the JPY looks to recover from its drop on Monday. Amidst the rise in oil prices and gold trading at a 27 year high, there is a influx of investment in nations with a strong commodity base. If these trends continue we should see the JPY stay on its downward trend. forex style trading

USD/JPY

The pair is floating in a relatively tight range for several days now, as can be seen on the 4 Hour chart. No significant break through the114.50-115 range has occurred, and the hourly continue to deliver mixed signals. The daily chart is giving a moderately bullish sentiment with a bit more room to run. USD/CHF The USD CHF is in a bearish configuration. The volatility decreases. USD CHF moves without trend and swings around exponential moving average (EMA 50 and 100). Bollinger bands have tightened. 1H, 4H Elliott pattern implies a continuation of the bearish pressure. The target is expected at 1.1610 . forex trading software online

1.4500 2.0785 115.30 1.1667 0.9300 0.7055 1.4480 2.0750 115.00 1.1620 0.9255 0.7030 Support 1.4380 2.0700 114.45 1.1550 0.9200 0.6940 1.4350 2.0670 114.00 1.1500 0.9175 0.6900 1.4310 2.0640 113.75 1.1485 0.9150 0.6885 = Economic News USD Yesterday, the greenback continued to trade on a slippery slope and although it only lost some slight ground against the EUR, it did slip significantly against most of the other majors. Yesterday was relatively light on U.S data with the main event being the Consumer Confidence figure which released well below the expected 99.0 at 95.6. This additional piece of negative data only marginally increased the problems of the fragile greenback, which has been under immense pressure the entire week ahead of today s release of the Fed s Interest Rate Statement. The current widespread market expectation is that the Fed will slash its key interest rate by 0.25%. Therefore if the Fed disappoints investors by holding back a rate cut then it will risk upsetting the still-fragile markets and harming the economy. The rationale behind a rate cut by the Fed is too prevent the rising oil prices and falling home values from driving the U.S economy into a recession. Following the Interest Rate Announcement will be the Fed Statement which will be closely followed by investors who will be on the prowl for any hints on future monetary policy changes. It seems that the Fed would probably come out with an open-ended statement that will shy away from promising any future rate cuts. Since if the Fed hints towards future rate reductions then the greenback will head towards another freefall and it will also revive inflation concerns, which will be problematic for the U.S economy in the long run. In the beginning of October the majority of traders believed that the Fed will cut the interest rate by at least 0.75 % at its next meeting. However they scaled down their expectations to 0.25% on the back of the revised August payroll numbers, which now showed a gain instead of a decline. Nevertheless there has been fresh market turmoil over the last two weeks as there have been further signs of weakness in the housing sector combined with dismal earnings reports of major U.S banks and therefore this has again prompted some investors to believe that the rate cut will be greater than 0.25%. beginner currency forex

There is another host of significant U.S data to be released today which includes the ADP Non-Farm Payrolls Report, the Annualized GDP and the Annualized GDP deflator figures. Although the Fed Interest Rate Announcement will be taking centre stage today, it will also be important to watch the ADP report which will give the market an indication of the all important NFP report that we can expect on Friday. The greenback should experience some sharp volatility today and if the interest rate is released inline with expectations then the greenback will continue to plummet before the recovery process can begin. managed forex account

EUR

The EUR continued its bullish rampage against the greenback yesterday mainly being driven by investor expectations of a U.S rate cut today instead of actual EUR strength, as the European currency traded indifferently against most of the other majors. The widening growth differential and the tightening interest rate differential between Europe and the U.S has caused the EUR to trade in unknown territory against the greenback, breaking all time highs more than once in the last few weeks. Today, there is a string of data to be released from the Eurozone which includes the German Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence, CPI, Italian CPI and ending of with Eurozone Unemployment Rate. However these figures will be insignificant today as all eyes will be on the Interest Rate Announcement by the Fed and therefore most of the EUR volatility today will be pegged to the greenback. forex signal system trading

The continuous strengthening of the Eurozone currency has been making it more difficult for European exporters to compete on the global market. This has been particularly felt in Germany which is heavily reliant on exports and since Germany is a key player in the Eurozone economy we should see some drawbacks on overall European growth begin to appear. Therefore the state of future growth and inflationary concerns will be key determinants in the ECB s monetary stance, however for now, with regards to the direction the EUR against the greenback, the ball is in Bernanke s court. free online forex trading

JPY

Earlier today, during the Asian trading session, there was the release of the Japanese Average Cash Earnings. This figure measures the monthly change in the wages paid to jobholders and it released in negative territory at -0.5%, which was well below the expected figure of 0.2%. However the main news event to be released out of Japan earlier today was the BoJ s interest Rate Statement, which remained unchanged at 0.5%. Deflation still remains as a real concern of the BoJ and until it reaches a favorable target level it is unlikely that the BoJ will be in a position to hike rates. bank forex trading

The Japanese interest rate release did not have any significant impact on the JPY as the market seems to be holding its breath ahead of today s U.S interest rate announcement. Therefore the JPY managed to hold on to its recent gains and it may even push further upwards against the USD today if the Fed cuts the interest rate, which could also encourage a future carry trade unwind. account forex trading

= Technical News EUR/USD

Today, the 4 Hour chart implies on a possible recovery of the USD when both RSI (78) and Slow Stochastic (crossed at 82) are clearly in overbought territory. The 4 Doji bars imply on an upcoming move and it appears that going short might be preferable. GBP/USD On the 4 H chart we can see the Slow Stochastic crossed at 88 which is clearly in overbought territory and we expect for an upcoming reversal which will lead to a bearish trend. Meanwhile there is still room left for another strengthening before the reversal will take place. genuine online trading forex

A strong bullish configuration is forming on a 4 hour chart. The volatility has increased. Hourlies are showing that the pair moves without a clear trend and swings around exponential moving average (EMA 50 and 100). essential forex trading

= Indicators Date Time Country Event Period Previous Forecast Importance

2007-10-31 JPY BOJ Governor Fukui Speaks - - *** 2007-10-31 00:30:00 AUD Building Approvals m/m -1.7% 0.9% ** 2007-10-31 01:30:00 JPY Average Cash Earnings y/y 0.6% 0.2% * 2007-10-31 02:00:00 JPY Interest Rate Announcement 0.5% 0.5% ** 2007-10-31 05:00:00 JPY Housing Starts y/y -43.3% -32.0% * forex day trading

2007-10-31 07:00:00 GBP Nationwide House Prices m/m 0.7% 0.2% **** 2007-10-31 07:00:00 EUR German Retail Sales m/m -1.6% 0.8% * 2007-10-31 09:00:00 EUR Consumer Confidence -5 -5 * 2007-10-31 10:00:00 EUR CPI y/y 2.1% 2.3% * 2007-10-31 10:00:00 EUR Unemployment Rate 6.9% 6.9% * 2007-10-31 10:00:00 EUR Italian CPI m/m 0.0% 0.1% * 2007-10-31 10:30:00 GBP Consumer Confidence -7 -7 * 2007-10-31 10:30:00 CHF Leading Index m/m 2.14 2.10 **** course forex free trading

2007-10-31 12:15:00 USD ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 58K 60K **** 2007-10-31 12:30:00 USD GDP Annualized q/q 3.8% 3.1% ***** 2007-10-31 12:30:00 USD GDP Deflator Annualized q/q 2.6% 2.0% ***** 2007-10-31 12:30:00 USD ECI q/q 0.9% 0.9% **** 2007-10-31 12:30:00 CAD GDP m/m 0.2% 0.1% * 2007-10-31 13:45:00 USD Chicago PMI 54.2 53.0 ***** 2007-10-31 14:00:00 USD Construction Spending m/m 0.2% -0.4% * 2007-10-31 14:30:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories -5.3m *** forex system

Resistance 1.4530 2.0815 115.60 1.1700 0.9330 0.7100 1.4500 2.0785 115.30 1.1667 0.9300 0.7055 1.4480 2.0750 115.00 1.1620 0.9255 0.7030 Support 1.4380 2.0700 114.45 1.1550 0.9200 0.6940 1.4350 2.0670 114.00 1.1500 0.9175 0.6900 1.4310 2.0640 113.75 1.1485 0.9150 0.6885 = Economic News USD The main story yesterday was the much anticipated announcement of US Federal Interest Rate cuts. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cut rates by one quarter point to 4.5% to help change the trends in the struggling US economy. Traders saw the EUR, GBP and CAD make significant gains on the greenback, with the volatile news period not helping to change the greenback s fate by all that much. It is important to note that losses over a seven day period versus the EUR were halted, however the general trend looks to continue to be prevalent. EUR/USD hovered for most of the day around 1.45, while the cable hit 26 year highs. The Canadian dollar reached its highest point in almost 50 years against the greenback as there was no stopping the maple leaf. Not all the news was bad yesterday, as US growth numbers were positive, putting the onus on other Central Banks to evaluate possible rate hikes. The greenback has continued to endure agonizing results with essential commodities like Crude Oil and Gold, leaving traders with tough decisions on how long to hold onto positions with the USD. forex getting in in started

Today s economic calendar is once again crowded with essential news from the US. Core PCE Price Index, Personal Spending, Personal Income, Unemployment Claims, ISM Manufacturing Index and Prices should continue to push the greenback down. Some investors are still concerned that the only positive information released from the US is not backed by real data quite yet. This sentiment has shown itself in trading as the rate cuts yesterday only slightly changed the continued trend in the market in regards to the greenback. It will be intriguing to see if today s news events can provide enough real data to shift trends to relieve some of the heighted stress on the greenback. forex investing trading

EUR

The EUR hit all-time highs once again versus the plummeting greenback, after yesterday s Fed rate cut. Floating at high levels the whole day, the European currency staved off any news time volatility to stay strong. Speculation is that the ECB will need to raise interest rates to combat the soaring inflation from within its members economies. Doing so could come sooner than later, as US the economic data has not shown much promise as of late. forex custom indicator

Today, the EUR stays off the economic calendar, with relevant news coming from only the UK and US. It will be the focal point of many investors over the next couple of days to monitor the relationship between speculative growth in the European economy and the key changes in US economic policy. Yesterday, in the statement released by the Feds, there was mention that the upside risks to inflation roughly balance the downside risks to growth. Comments like these will only further the concern from the ECB over how to handle their currency in relation to the greenback. It should be interesting to see if investors continue to back the rise of the EUR/USD or if they retreat over concerns of a change in trends. add forex link trading

JPY

Amidst the whirlwind of records set against the greenback yesterday, the JPY managed to stay proportionately neutral. Following Japan s announcement that interest rates will stay at 0.5%, Governor Fukui reiterated the Bank of Japans statement noting slowed economic growth in the country. After abandoning initial ideas that consumer prices in Japan would rise, there was not much surprise that rates stayed the same. As Japan is dependent on the growth of the global economy, the latest news from the US will inevitably lead the Japanese to make some changes to avoid damaging the JPY. With the fate of the JPY in the hands of outside factors, look for the JPY to continue to produce volatile results over the coming days. learn forex trading

= Technical News EUR/USD

After a touch at the unbelievable level of the 1.4500 yesterday, the pair eases a bit and now consolidates around 1.4460. The EUR/USD seems to be ignoring technical key points and is simply breaking record highs one after the other. Although charts are showing bearish crosses on the 4 Hour chart and the daily chart, it appears that the momentum is stronger than ever, and that another peak at the 1.4500 should probably return shortly. forex future trading

GBP/USD

The cable is going through a massive uptrend, as the momentum refuses to calm down. Hourly charts are packed with positive sentiments and are slightly contradicted by a moderately bearish daily chart. Going long in the short run appears to be preferable today. USD/JPY The pair still floats within the wide range of 113.00/177.00 with no distinct direction. It appears that the current move is up, and the local sentiment is quite bullish. The 4 Hour chart is indicating that the next target price could be around 116.40. forex spot trading

USD/CHF

The pair is floating at a very strong support level that revolves around 1.1580 and is showing some difficulties breaching through it violently. The sentiment on the daily chart is floating at neutral levels whereas the hourly charts are very bearish. Staying out of this pair until the smoke clears might be a smart move. = The Wild Card Crude Oil forex mechanical systems2c

Oil has breached through the all time high of 96.00 and even touched the 96.20 at some point yesterday. The momentum is stronger than ever, and there is a strong belief that oil is running to the 100$ a barrel soon. This is a great opportunity for forex traders to get in at great entry point and ride that unbelievable trend. free forex chart

= Indicators Date Time Country Event Period Previous Forecast Importance

2007-11-01 00:30:00 AUD Retail Sales m/m 0.7% 0.5% ***** 2007-11-01 00:30:00 AUD Trade Balance -1.6B -1.0B ***** 2007-11-01 08:30:00 CHF SVME PMI 57.6 58.0 **** 2007-11-01 09:30:00 GBP Manufacturing PMI 55.1 54.5 **** 2007-11-01 11:00:00 GBP CBI Distributive Trades Realized 15 - *** 2007-11-01 12:30:00 USD Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.1% 0.2% ***** automated forex trading

2007-11-01 12:30:00 USD Personal Spending m/m 0.6% 0.4% *** 2007-11-01 12:30:00 USD Personal Income m/m 0.3% 0.4% * 2007-11-01 12:30:00 USD Unemployment Claims 331K 335K **** 2007-11-01 14:00:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Index 52.0 51.7 ***** 2007-11-01 14:00:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices 59.0 63.0 **** 2007-11-01 17:00:00 USD Domestic Vehicle Sales 12.5M 12.3M * 2007-11-01 23:50:00 JPY Monetary Base y/y 0.7% 0.6% * easy forex

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